DCBigPappa's Blog

Politics & Pop Culture from a homocon.

Category Archives: Politics

Bloomberg creeping up in Florida poll


A month ago, a St. Pete Poll had Mike Bloomberg surging into second place behind Uncle Joe 41% to 17%. The sample size of likely voters was 2,590, with a Margin of Error of 1.9%.

StPetePoll_Jan2020

What a difference a month makes! The same pollster conducted a new poll over the last two days of 3, 047 likely Democratic voters. With an MOE of 1.8%

StPetePoll_Feb2020

Florida votes two weeks after Super Tuesday (March 2nd), so there is still time for anything to happen. But one must admit that the trajectory for both are in opposite directions. I’m not writing off Uncle Joe…yet. Blacks in South Carolina are his firewall. And the Culinary Union in Vegas not endorsing anyone doesn’t help his campaign either. Let’s see how Klobuchar and Mayor Pete do in Nevada, which caucuses (minus the app!) next Saturday.

After NH, now what?!


So, now what?! Does Stella Biden get his groove back in time for South Carolina? There are no recent meaningful polling from either Nevada or SC, so any talk is just hot air. Do blacks stay with Biden in SC? Does labor push Bernie over the threshold in NV where he lost by 5 points to Hillary? Do Amy and/or Pete get any traction with minorities? And what’s all this crowing about Bernie getting 40% of the Hispanic vote last night? NH has a Hispanic population of 4%. So that’s what? 1,200 votes out of 290,000 that were cast last night?

If Biden under performs in SC, that will definitely create a lane for Bloomberg on Super Tuesday. But only if Mayor Mike can quickly make himself the principal alternative to Sanders. Keep that spending up.

RIP to the campaigns of Andrew Yang and Deval Patrick. Was Patrick really running? And why?! Oh, and I’m calling it now. Warren is done! Thankfully.

Congress… Off to a Bad Start


The new is still fresh in people’s mind. A new President awaits to be inaugurated in 17 days. The new 115th Congress is about to be sworn in. And what’s on the minds of some GOP lawmakers? Gutting the Office of Congressional Ethics.

Obviously, as soon as it hit the news wires, the outcry was deafening. But it wasn’t simply from the Left.  Judicial Watch has called the proposal “shameful.” But the biggest and most surprising rebuke came from President-elect Trump in a tweet.

trump1trump2

Why JC Watts Won’t Be the Next RNC Chair


J.C. WattsI read a Politico posting this afternoon suggesting that former Congressman J.C. Watts may jump in the race for RNC Chairman next month.  An interesting proposition.

But let’s look at a few basic facts.  Mr. Watts says he is being “encouraged” by supporters to run.  Who are these supporters?  They don’t seem to be current members of the RNC.  In fact, the article points out that Matt Pinnell, the Chairman of the Oklahoma Party and  one of the 168 who will vote for the next RNC Chairman is backing  Priebus for reelection.

While a cursory look at the RNC Rules does allow for a non-member to run for Chair or Vice-Chair, in order to be nominated, one must have the support of at least the majority vote of RNC members in each of three states in order to have his or her names placed in nomination.  So where does he go for those initial votes if his home state chairman is supporting Priebus?  And even if he were to get nominated, where does he get the votes?  Preibus already has 130 of the 168 votes locked up.

I am not saying the Mr. Watts wouldn’t be a good chairman.  But there is no groundswell within the voting membership of the RNC to replace Priebus with Watts, or anyone else, for that matter.

My belief is that in six weeks, down in Charlotte, Reince will be nominated and reelected by acclamation.   I just don’t see any other outcome.  But stranger things have happened.

Colin Powell to Replace David Petraeus?


That was my original thought when a little bird spotted the former Secretary of State dining this weekend in Georgetown with not only Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, but also retired United States Naval Commander Harlan Ullman, of “shock & awe” fame, and also one of the names released by the DC Madame some five years ago.

It most definitely could be time for payback since the General endorsed President Obama both in 2008 and 2012.  Only time will tell…

Best Photo This Week


My 2012 Electoral Map: Romney 295 Obama 243


Many of you have asked, so here it is.

Romney 295 (Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin)

Obama 243 (Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania)

VP Debate at Shelly’s


Last night, I organized a debate-watching party with members of my Log Cabin chapter who enjoy smoking cigars.  Actually, there were a few there who don’t smoke, but wanted to join in the camaraderie.  We had a great time watching Congressman Paul Ryan show class over Vice President Joe Biden’s clown face.

Good debate.  Good friends.  Good cigars!

I first had a Montecristo #2 Torpedo, then I smoked a Pléiades Paris Envoy

Presidential Debate Drinking Game


Another Good Quote: from Paul Ryan


The following quote is taken from an interview with WPTV with Congressman Paul Ryan, the GOP Vice-Presidential candidate.

“Now that it’s done, we should not reverse it. I think that would be a step in the wrong direction because people have already disclosed themselves. I talked to a lot of good friends of mine who are combat leaders in the theater and they just didn’t think the timing of this was right to do this when our troops were in the middle of harm’s way in combat. I think this issue is past us. It’s done. And, I think we need to move on.”

– Rep. Paul Ryan

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